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By Peter C. Y. Chow

The hot Industrializing international locations (NICs) of the Pacific Basin--Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore--differ in lots of methods similar to their languages, cultures, political and monetary structures. what's fascinating is what fiscal attribute they carry in universal. each one has succeeded in defying in what Chow and Kellman outline as a "vicious circle of poverty" following international struggle II. they supply a finished research of the industrial elements which fueled the "engine of growth." The authors mix an in depth physique of empirical info with an strangely huge theoretical framework to spotlight the standards in each one and industry which contributed to the good fortune of those nations. The paintings examines and forecasts capability pageant from the encompassing geographic quarter in particular markets. It contrasts the improvement of the NICs with Japan, with "next tier NICs," and with one another in markets, together with these of the U.S. and the drawing close united Europe. utilizing sleek financial concept and complicated quantitative options, Trade - The Engine of progress in East Asia will in actual fact support students, scholars, policymakers, and execs in realizing those East Asian versions of growth.

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3%. The growth of NIC exports (starting, to be sure, from an appreciably higher base than the middle 1960s) also fell (with the exception of Hong Kong). Nevertheless, all four NICs' exports grew at rates exceeding world import growth and hence continued to increase their market shares during this period. What roles did the market and commodity effects play during this period? Again, a large potential existed for these factors to exert a major role, since the period was characterized by large fluctuations and changes in world markets.

The findings here support the hypothesis that throughout this period Korea's evolving pattern of revealed comparative advantage was (asymptotically) approaching and approximating Japanese patterns of past years. 1 indicates the similarity indices between South Korea's exports in various years and those of Japan in 1965. We note that the hypothesis is indeed supported by the findings. The highest degree of product overlap is always found between Korea's exports at any given point in time and those of Japan in a lagged, or past, period.

8 Though this table is for 1982, the picture is representative of the situation throughout the previous decade, which changed only very slowly. 35 The Sources of Export Growth ceeding largely because the products in which they specialized and the markets in which they sold them both grew relatively fast. The potential danger is clear. In the absence of an all-knowing, clairvoyant MITI, the inability to score competitive gains (at the expense of other exporters) in times of rapidly shifting markets and rapidly changing product developments creates a strong potential to fall off the winning horse.

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